人工智能取代工作_人工智能正在取代人們的工作-開發人員是下一個嗎？

人工智能取代工作

I was recently asked to comment on whether there was any point in becoming a developer right now, because AI might be doing your job very soon.

最近有人要求我評論一下現在成為開發人員是否有任何意義，因為AI可能很快就會完成您的工作。

Here is the quote I was asked to comment on:

這是我被要求評論的報價：

Developing websites, especially ones with static content or just plain content management, will no longer be a relevant skill in next few years.
開發網站，尤其是那些具有靜態內容或僅具有純內容管理功能的網站，在未來幾年將不再是一項相關技能。

Developing websites, especially ones with static content or just plain content management, will no longer be a relevant skill in next few years.
開發網站，尤其是那些具有靜態內容或僅具有純內容管理功能的網站，在未來幾年將不再是一項重要技能。

I’ve also been reading more articles on AI and a few have rekindled my interest in the conversation. One of the best articles I’ve read is Should developers care that their AI products could take away peoples jobs?

我也一直在閱讀有關AI的更多文章，其中一些重新激發了我對對話的興趣。我讀過的最好的文章之一是開發人員應該關心他們的AI產品會帶走人們的工作嗎？

人工智能工作 (AI Taking Jobs)

There is no doubt that AI is now doing things that were earlier done by people. The most obvious is chatbots taking away customer service jobs, but there are loads of other examples: facial recognition passport gates, automatic logistics planning, and even creating art.

毫無疑問，人工智能現在正在做的工作早已由人們完成。最明顯的是聊天機器人取消了客戶服務工作，但還有很多其他示例：面部識別護照門，自動后勤計劃甚至是創作藝術品。

技術工作是正常的 (Tech taking jobs is normal)

Throughout history, technology has been taking the jobs of people. The horse drawn plough took away the jobs of field diggers, horse farriers lost their jobs because of tractors, and recently production line workers have been loosing their jobs to robotic workers.

縱觀歷史，技術一直占據著人們的工作。馬拉犁剝奪了現場挖掘機的工作，馬農夫因拖拉機而失業，最近生產線工人一直在向機器人工人失去工作。

AI taking people’s jobs is just the next step in the continual process.

AI接替人們的工作只是持續過程的下一步。

AI會承擔開發人員的工作嗎？ (Will AI Take Developer Jobs?)

Yes, and it’s already started.

是的，它已經開始了。

The quote talks about those jobs that involve writing HTML and CSS, and I thing that a lot of them are already disappearing. Services like SquareSpace allow you to design and build a website without any coding. You can have it exactly as you like without ever having to employ a developer. This isn’t even AI, this is just well designed software.

引言談到了涉及編寫HTML和CSS的那些工作，我想其中的許多工作已經消失了。諸如SquareSpace之類的服務使您無需任何編碼即可設計和構建網站。您可以完全按照自己的意愿擁有它，而無需雇用開發人員。這甚至不是AI，這只是精心設計的軟件。

AI has also been used in this field. There have been projects to get AI to build a website from a PhotoShop design. It used image analysis and feature detection to build up a full website from mockups.

AI也已在該領域中使用。已經有一些項目使AI從PhotoShop設計中構建網站。它使用圖像分析和功能檢測從模型構建完整的網站。

那更多的技術工作呢？ (What about more technical jobs?)

Technical jobs, like creating dynamic websites, writing software, or data science, seem safe for now, but I think they’ll start seeing AI in the workplace more and more.

目前，技術工作(例如創建動態網站，編寫軟件或數據科學)似乎很安全，但我認為他們將開始越來越多地在工作場所看到AI。

I don’t believe that AI will be taking jobs away, but will rather give developers an incredibly powerful tool to create better products. There are loads of places that I’d love to use AI in my work life, like automating some boring processes.

我不相信AI會搶走工作，而是會為開發人員提供一個功能強大的工具來創建更好的產品。我希望在工作中使用很多地方的AI，例如使一些無聊的過程自動化。

I don’t think it’ll be long before we have template compilers that take simple commands and compile them into whatever language you want. This will be such a powerful tool as it could eliminate the need for generic boilerplate code, cut down repetitive typing tasks, and give developers time to do what we do best: solve problems.

我認為不久之后，我們就會有了采用簡單命令并將其編譯為所需語言的模板編譯器。這將是一個功能強大的工具，因為它可以消除對通用樣板代碼的需求，減少重復的打字任務，并為開發人員提供時間來做我們最擅長的事情：解決問題。

I expect there are loads of use cases in development that would make life so much better. If you can think of any great examples, let me know in the comments.

我希望開發中有大量用例，它們會使生活變得更好。如果您能想到任何出色的示例，請在評論中告訴我。

Soft skills will be much harder for AI to understand and replicate. Creating a relationship with your customers, effectively motivating and working with a team, and understanding human wants and needs are all skills that turn a good developer into a great one.

人工智能很難理解和復制軟技能。與客戶建立關系，有效地激勵團隊并與團隊合作以及了解人類的需求和需求都是使一名優秀的開發人員成為優秀的開發人員的全部技能。

100年后呢？ (What about in 100 years?)

In 100 years, I have no doubt that a lot of current developer jobs will become obsolete. AI will probably be able to create incredibly complex software from a description of its features. There may also be sentient AI which would be able to figure out whatever it is you wanted and then do that. You wouldn’t need unique software packages anymore.

毫無疑問，在100年中，許多當前的開發人員工作將被淘汰。 AI可能將能夠通過其功能描述來創建極其復雜的軟件。也許還有有感覺的AI，它將能夠弄清您想要的任何東西，然后執行此操作。您不再需要獨特的軟件包。

There will also be loads of new jobs to replace our current ones. No one 100 years ago would have thought that web designer, JavaScript developer, or machine learning developer would be jobs in the future. In 100 years, there are going to be new jobs we can’t even imagine.

還將有大量新工作取代我們現有的工作。 100年前，沒有人會想到Web設計師，JavaScript開發人員或機器學習開發人員會在將來成為工作。在100年中，將會有我們無法想象的新工作。

You could be an alien designer — designing synthetic lifeforms to make distant planets habitable for humans — or a warpdrive operator. Who knows!

您可能是外星人設計師-設計合成的生命形態以使遙遠的星球適合人類居住-或是warpdrive操作員。誰知道！

那么現在值得成為一名開發人員嗎？ (So is it worth becoming a developer now?)

Yes, it is! If you want to become a developer, I think it is a great career choice.

是的！如果您想成為一名開發人員，我認為這是一個不錯的職業選擇。

You may start learning to do things that can already be done by AI, but soon you’ll be working on projects that AI is not yet able to do. Demand for developers is set to massively increase over the next decade, and the number of areas you can work in is equally massive.

您可能開始學習做AI可以完成的事情，但是很快您將從事AI尚無法完成的項目。在接下來的十年中，對開發人員的需求將大大增加，并且您可以從事的領域數量也同樣巨大。

You’ll also be in an industry in which progress is always happening. You can continually grow your skills, adopt AI to make your life easier and more productive, and learn about the bleeding edge of technology.

您還將處于一個不斷進步的行業。您可以不斷提高自己的技能，采用AI來使您的生活更輕松，更高效，并了解技術的前沿。

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